It's So Over... We're So Back!

A Rollercoaster Ride: The State of the Market in early January 2025

TL;DR

  • Bitcoin wicks under $90k

  • Macro shifts, less FED rate cuts and MicroStrategy blackout

  • Trump signals crypto bullishness from day one

  • Is the cycle over?

Bitcoin Pullback: What’s Happening?

The cryptocurrency market has started 2025 with a significant correction. Bitcoin, which hit an all-time high of $106k in December 2024, is now trading near $94k (as of January 13). This decline has raised questions among investors: is the bull run over, or is this just a temporary pause?

Why Are Bitcoin and Other Digital Assets Dropping?

The recent decline in Bitcoin and other digital assets can be attributed to a mix of factors that have already been priced into the market

  • Slower-than-expected FED rate cuts: The market had hoped for the Federal Reserve to make more drastic changes, but the slower pace of rate cuts has made investors less confident, meaning less liquidity.

  • Saylor is buying less Bitcoin: MicroStrategy has also slowed its purchases (possibly in its blackout period), which has reduced demand and led to a recent drop in the value of Bitcoin.

When and How Could the Market Recover?

Market recovery could come around Trump’s inauguration day, His administration has shown strong support for crypto, and this could boost institutional interest and restore market confidence in the short term.

According to the Washington Post Trump is ready to issue crypto related executive orders on day one:

One thing we can be sure of is if Trump is hosting a “Crypto Ball“ on his inauguration to celebrate with industry leaders “the first crypto president”, we shouldn’t be too bearish if at all a this stage:

Moreover, companies like MicroStrategy will continue accumulating Bitcoin, sustaining long-term demand. That increased institutional participation through ETFs and corporate strategies could be the catalyser for the bull run continuation. However, recovery may not be immediate across all Digital Assets sectors and will depend on factors like macroeconomic stability, regulatory clarity and other factors. We could be seeing diverse pockets of bullishenss action while other sectors lag while their catalizers get in place to send them off.

Today on the afternoon BTC wicked under 90k and bounced back now sitting above 92K… So, the question is, bottom Monday, turn around Tuesday?:

We’re confident this marked the bottom, and we’re ready for a bullish continuation.

-DWI

Disclaimer: This content is for information and education purposes only and it is not intended to serve as investment, financial, tax or legal advice. Do your own research before investing.